Chris Carolan was the recipient for the prestigious 1998 Charles H. Dow Award from Dow Jones Inc., Barron’s and the Market Technicians Assoc. for Autumn Panics; A Calendar Phenomenon.discovery of The Spiral Calendar.
It is a very prestigious award and the people who win usually come up with some universal principle, that the masses have never seen, and they are useable. Not just fancy theories.
Autumn Panics: A Calendar Phenomenon – Spiral Calendar
The jist of it is he found hidden order in the stock market based on ancient lunar calendars, Jewish and Celtic.
The connection between the 1929 crash and the 1987 perfectly timed by the spiral calendar.
People have been measuring time with the moon and sun since time immemorial. It’s just our modern culture, like many things, has been fed a core curriculum before there was a core curriculum.
He found that this time series which is the square root of fibonacci moons not only timed market turns but also timed geopolitical events. His book Spiral Calendar is full of mostly market examples so if you’re not into timing markets, might not be something you would want to curl up with.
It timed Trumps Tariff Tandrum in the market in 2025 back to a past panic in 1800’s. Distances between certain wars. Some of the information is on his website.
I ran the spiral calendar from day 1 of Trumps invasion into Iran.
I’ve not updated the chart but the June 14th spiral calendar was PERFECT hit. The first spiral calendar timed the bottom of the new bull and all but one timed a Trump tweet that either escalated or de-escalated the Iran war and moved the market. All the hits occurred within 24 hours of the date of the spiral. Next one, June 13th is the next date.
May,2027 arrives a spiral calendar hit to The Siege of Yorktown, Sep 28 – Oct 19, 1781. Siege of Yorktown, was the decisive land engagement of the Revolutionary War. This will be 246 years since the battle. An important number.
The question you’re asking is what did the earlier occurrences time to help validate this is worth my time to watch?
The ones in close proximity were
Shays’ Rebellion — assault on Springfield Armory Jan 25, 1787
Constitution ratified Jun 21, 1788
Jul 23, 1792White House cornerstone laid Oct 13; Washington’s unanimous re-election that fall — loose, the passing of the 12th amendment, Fries Rebellion, Tax rebellion, First Seminole War erupts, Bleeding Kansas/ Wakarusa War-1855, **Mississippi Plan violence — Clinton, MS massacre Sep 4, 1875 (23 days); armed overthrow of Reconstruction underway, US asserts control over Cuba, birth of the American empire; McKinley assassinated Sep 6, FDR’s gold confiscation, Nixon resignation.
While some of the events don’t seem related in exact theme, their timing is spooky.
A post like this poses two questions? IsNassim Taleb’s correct that humans are "Fooled by Randomness?
Or is MIT Professor Andrew Lo more correct when he asserts that humans are fooled by a hidden order that the NYU professors can’t see?
How did Trump know to tweet at those times and in his first term tweet about market moves before they happened? If I was a billionaire President that hired Feng Shui masters to decorate my buildings and put art that was meant to increase ones prosperity (he did), I might have a little phone book of people that know something about forecasting. Or he might be like most of us, thinking we have free will.