The Food Chain Reaction simulation – old news, evidently, but I don’t recall hearing about it before:
[In November 2015], 65 international policymakers, academics, business and thought leaders gathered at the World Wildlife Fund’s headquarters in Washington DC to game out how the world would respond to a future food crisis.
The game took the players from the year 2020 to 2030. As it was projected, the decade brought two major food crises, with prices approaching 400 percent of the long term average; a raft of climate-related extreme weather events; governments toppling in Pakistan and Ukraine; and famine and refugee crises in Bangladesh, Myanmar, Chad and Sudan…
Along with WWF [of royal Malthusian fame], the Center for American Progress and the Center for Naval Analyses, Cargill [Big Ag] was one of Food Chain Reaction’s organizers…
In the face of a steep price spike with looming global food shortages in 2022, the EU at one point suspended its environmental rules for agriculture and introduced a tax on meat. Both measures were quickly reversed in 2025, as harvests went back to normal and tensions eased in the hypothetical universe.
The most eye-catching result, however, was a deal between the U.S., the EU, India and China, standing in for the top 20 greenhouse gas emitters, to institute a global carbon tax and cap CO2 emissions in 2030.
(Emphasis added. A copy of the original press release can be found here: Food Chain Reaction crisis simulation ends with global carbon tax | Cargill)
Another one for the “coincidence” file!