I don’t agree with the quant modeling here, but this is an excellent way to see how the regime’s quants think in terms of Malthusian mechanics. It’s also a striking example of the total failure of The Calculus as a modeling tool for the dynamics of contingent beings, for which it was NOT intended, and why STEM programs that practically worship at Newton’s altar are clueless idiots. The vast majority of the people calculating our culture into submission aren’t even aware of an alternative.
Is increasing resource production in addition to resource collection factored in the thinking here sufficiently?
No, nor are the rates of technological advancement or Malthusian depopulation efforts, or any number of other variables. Even if such data were presented, they cannot be modeled effectively. This is precisely why the derivative and differential system fails. Once complexity reaches a level that produces unbounded solutions, the model offers no meaningful predictive value for discrete events or points within an undefined timeframe. The generalization to wave mechanics is good and true, in my view. But attempting to model waves by assuming a composition of infinite abstract points, is a loser every time. It looks very nice and impresses the uninitiated with very abstruse formalisms. For that reason, categorically occupies the same feature of culture as bread and circus, except for people with higher analytical IQ.