Stock Market, Recession? And Kondrieff cycle

[reddclay]

I believe there is significant and ample technical evidence and cyclical evidence to suggest a significant top has arrived in US stocks and possibly world stock markets. I would not casually say something like this without being able to produce ample evidence

We are also in the window of the top of the Kondrieff cycle which I’ve mentioned a few times and Joseph wrote about in Babylon Banksters. Because the cycle can be 53, 54, 55 years, it’s more of a process then a moment

We are seeing all the evidence of a topping pattern. Yields are now 2007 level before the great housing crisis which Catherine Austin Fitts has written so much about

History rhymes not necessarily repeats. War cycles and economic cycles are inextricably linked.

Market and economy could stagnate before we see any black swans. But from now thru 2027, it won’t be smooth sailing.

Since the founding of America. This cycle has not missed a beat. How it manifests is a different discussion.

Sorry believers in a new golden age. More like a 4th turning moment

[reddclay]

Green line was 2026 forecast at year beginning. Blue line is stock market year to date. Narrow chance of a retest of a high but even if it squeezes out some new high, it’s insignificant. October is Puetz window which alot of back testing was done. Aka seasonal panics.

Need more war and more money printing to save the Union

[bitcrypt]

I’m somewhat familiar with the cyclical economic theory posited by Nikolai Kondratieff, whom as I recall was spoken of frequently in Cliff High’ podcast, that is before Cliff sold out to the Trump faction.

I also worry a bit about Kondratieff’s research from the standpoint of, he was conducting his work from the barrel end of a riffle (somewhat an exaggeration) on orders from Stalin (i.e. under duress), with the intent of forecasting a timeline for the collapse of capitalism. Those factors, in mind, aren’t necessarily conducive to objective investigation.

I do think cyclical economic theory is extremely potent and is likely a very accurate template for the ebs and flows we see in capital markets. In my mind, the work of Dewey that Dr. Farrell laid out in “Bablyon’s Banksters” was even more compelling than Kondratieff’s research.

[reddclay]

Kondratieff wrote the theory…at least in modern times. He’s only relevant if in fact we have evidence that the cycle has been working. And we have good documentation.

Joseph’s writing on Dewey and the Foundation of Cycles is probably the best write up on the field that I’ve read. Especially outside of people who track this stuff day to day. Then you need a user’s manual to dig down to the details and be able to answer the question… Well, where are we in the cycle and how do you know?

Alot of work has been done since.

The goat. Now retired. Brilliant man!

Tic Tok, Tick Tock.

The topics of our conversations ALL are the tell. ALL… We are the cycle. Warfare, crime, political upheavel…lions, tigers and bears.

It should hit everyone between the eyes that a Real Estate Mogul was elected President into the top of the real estate cycle.

Henry George…After you watch everything there is to know about the man, real life examples of it working.

If the political structure understood natural law, and the people who vote for them, this wouldn’t happen anymore.

Economic Blowback…

[reddclay]

What’s even more crazy.

Chaco Canyon is a clock that tracks the 18.6 year cycle. That’s why I said Kondrieff in modern times. The builders of this, visitors??? knew this cycle was an important cultural turning. Maybe they knew to get out of dodge when the light went into just the right window?

We’re not in charge.

[nperpetuity]

I haven’t looked into the Kondrieff cycle but it lines up with the moon’s nodal axis return of every 18.5 years. The last time it was in the current position was December 17th of 2007 to August 21st of 2009.