What Is
Socrates
?
Socrates is a predictive artificial intelligence system developed by economist Martin Armstrong, founder of Armstrong Economics. Unlike opinion-based forecasting, Socrates analyzes historical cycles, capital flows, political data, and market trends to model the future of geopolitics and economics.
When Did It Start?
- Martin Armstrong developed early versions in the 1980s.
- The Economic Confidence Modelābased on a repeating 8.6-year Pi cycleāwas introduced in the 1990s.
- Socrates has since evolved into a powerful global forecasting tool that governments and hedge funds have secretly followed (and feared).
How Often Has It Been Right?
According to Armstrong and his long-time followers:
- Accurately predicted the 1987 market crash
- Forecasted the 1998 Russian collapse
- Warned about Brexit (even when polls said āRemainā would win)
- Called the Ukraine war a year before it started in 2014
- Predicted civil unrest and polarization in the U.S. post-2020
- Now forecasting WWIII and global systemic collapse into 2027ā2032
Episode Summary:
The Ceasefire Is the Setup ā What Comes After Is the Real War
In this urgent interview, Martin Armstrong warns that what appears to be a āceasefireā or cooling off period in world conflicts is not the endāitās the setup for something far worse.
Key Points from Armstrong:
Full-Scale World War III Is Coming
- Socrates shows war escalation begins August 2025, builds into 2026, and peaks in 2027.
- This is not just regional conflict ā itās global. Armstrong explicitly says:
āWeāre going into full-on World War Threeā¦ itās not just my opinion ā thatās what the computer says.ā
Neocons and Power Struggles Drive the War
- Armstrong argues neocons (like Bill Kristol, Bolton, Nuland) manipulate U.S. foreign policy for regime change.
- Netanyahuās push into war with Iran was timed around avoiding a no-confidence vote.
- These wars are not about freedom ā theyāre about retaining power and preventing peace.
Middle East & Eastern Europe Are Just Starters
- Ukraine and Israel are flashpoints manipulated by Western governments.
- He predicts Iran, Russia, and China will ally against U.S., NATO, and Israel .
- Armstrong: āIf China doesnāt support Russia, they know theyāre next in line.ā
War Model: Panic Cycle for the First Time Since WWII
- Socrates has never shown a panic cycle for war on a yearly level since WWII ā until now.
- A panic cycle means both extremes are tested: sudden fear, chaos, and escalation.
- 2026 is a key inflection year for both war and economic breakdown.
Economic Forecast: Recession ā Depression
- U.S. economy already turned downward (as of May last year).
- Stagflation (rising prices but shrinking economy) will last until at least 2028.
- Europe is worse off ā may enter a true depression, especially Germany.
- Civil unrest will rise globally as inflation, shortages, and mistrust grow.
Ceasefire Illusion
- Any current āpeace dealsā (e.g., in Ukraine, Gaza) are tactical pauses ā not true peace.
- Armstrong says the neocon doctrine is to never allow negotiation, because that threatens their agenda.
Final World Power Shift
- Armstrong says by 2032, China will likely become the global financial center, replacing the U.S.
- The West will face major governmental collapse or restructuring, similar to what happened in ancient Rome and during the American/French revolutions.
Closing Thought:
Armstrong ends with a sobering note:
āI donāt want to see thisā¦ but itās the modelās forecast, and it hasnāt been wrong.ā
He encourages Americans to prepare for:
- Economic pain
- Global war escalation
- Government instability
- And a massive shift by 2032