https://unz.com/article/america-has-already-lost-the-iran-war/
About eleven paragraphs down,
“In short, Iran can send the sheiks BACK TO THE CAMEL AGE - and America won’t protect the.”
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Is it about Iran or worldwide reset thru financial & resource turmoil. I presume the last, so highly succesfull.
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Destroy analogue!
“BUILD BACK” DIGITALLY…
RULED by Algorithm.
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Iran has not only Ju Jitsu like flipped the Regime Change initiative on US and Israel, but is going further now taking advantage for itself, the region and BRICS monetary functions to deliver a global financial reset “sans” the petrodollar. Schwab must writhing in envy. Trump has been suckered by Israel and trapped by Iran and its partners.
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Isn’t the reset also about eliminating hegemons? I think president Trump has done exceptional work and is expendable in the larger scemes of things.
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Those that don’t subscribe to the “DARK ENLIGHTENMENT”?
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I doubt it, there are new hegemonic forces in play now, just they will be regionalised, multipolar ones. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vyBGuATk5AE
The Regime-Change Aspects: A “House of Cards” Strategy That Collapsed The initial U.S./Israeli plan as classic decapitation—kill the Supreme Leader (and key IRGC figures) in the expectation that the Islamic Republic would implode like a “house of cards,” per Mossad chief David Barnea’s reported intelligence to the White House. Trump and Israeli leaders publicly embraced regime change early on, betting on internal uprising or total collapse.
It has failed because:
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Iran’s unique “mosaic system” (decentralized, networked decision-making across IRGC commanders, revolutionary institutions, and the Supreme National Security Council) activated within hours. Leadership “went dark” but retained functionality; attacks on Gulf bases continued immediately.
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The new de-facto leadership is now dominated by former IRGC commanders (hardliners with military mindsets), not clerics or the sidelined president (Pezeshkian has no role in foreign/defense policy under the constitution). This makes the system more resilient to further assassinations, not less.
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No popular revolt materialized. Instead, the regime has doubled down on repression (mass arrests, executions) while maintaining missile/drone launches.
Trump’s repeated claims today (and in recent weeks) of a “new and more reasonable regime,” “regime change already happened,” and “very good negotiations” with it are, in Alastair Crooke’s view, illusory or deliberate market manipulation. There are no direct talks—only occasional messages via third parties (Egypt, Qatar, Pakistan) that Iran often ignores or rejects outright. Iran’s 15-point demands (full end to hostilities, reparations, recognition of its Hormuz sovereignty) are maximalist and non-negotiable in the current environment.
Current U.S./Israeli pivot:
Regime of Iran change is now “off the table.” The fallback goal is tactical—seizing or neutralizing Kharg Island (“Card Island,” Iran’s main oil export terminal) to claim some form of “victory” and reopen Hormuz on U.S. terms. Israeli media and U.S. special-operations mobilization point to this. Crooke notes this reflects desperation: the IDF is at “breaking point” (heavy losses in Lebanon, munitions rationing, public exhaustion), and bombing campaigns have not destroyed Iran’s dispersed, mountain-hardened missile infrastructure (e.g., 800m-deep granite tunnels with rail-mobile launchers).
The discussion and critique ties back to the opening monologue on preemptive war and Jeffersonian skepticism of government overreach: this was another undeclared, intelligence-driven escalation sold as quick and clean, now bogged down with mounting strategic costs.
Iranian Strategic Aspects:
Seizing a Historic Opportunity the core argument—counterintuitive on the surface—is that Iran views the war not as existential threat but as a long-awaited strategic opening to invert the entire post-1970s order in West Asia.Historical context Crooke provides:
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Pre-1979, Iran was the region’s dominant power (large, rich, intellectually vibrant).
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Post-1979 U.S. policy deliberately elevated Gulf Sunni monarchs/sheikhs, contained Iran via sanctions/siege, and created the petrodollar system (Gulf oil revenues recycled into U.S. assets after the 1973-74 price shocks). This underpinned dollar hegemony and U.S. financialization at the expense of America’s real economy.
Iran’s current playbook discussed:
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Control the chokepoints: Iran now enforces a de-facto “toll booth” regime in the Strait of Hormuz (20% of global oil exports) and influences Red Sea traffic. Passage requires proof of payment in non-dollar currencies (e.g., yuan) and non-antagonistic intent. This directly challenges U.S. control over oil pricing and volume, which has been a pillar of American financial power since 1973.
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Geopolitical inversion: Expel U.S. military/financial infrastructure from the Gulf. Turn the tables on the “small shakedoms” by forcing them to recalibrate (they remain U.S.-beholden but vulnerable to oil-flow disruptions).
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No compromise: Iran rejects any return to a “Gaza-style cage” (new JCPOA-style restrictions, isolation, tariffs). Alaistair Crooke compares it to asking Hamas to accept permanent containment—politically impossible now that Iran believes it holds the stronger cards.
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Confidence in resilience: Mountain silos, rail-mobile missiles, proxy depth, and the mosaic system mean conventional bombing (thousands of sorties) yields limited results. Civilian infrastructure strikes (schools, hospitals, energy) are seen as ineffective theater or war crimes, but not decisive.
Alastair Crooke is skeptical that U.S. escalation (carpet-bombing Tehran, special-forces raids for enriched uranium, Kharg seizure) can reverse this. He notes Trump himself once called loss of dollar hegemony “equivalent to losing a major war”—precisely the risk if Iran succeeds in pricing oil outside the dollar system.
This is the military blowback effect of engaging in the attacks on Iran with Israel, there is huge loss of projection of power ongoing and which might yet be to come. This is why the Pentagon advised Trump not to proceed in attacking Iran with Israel.
US military leave Iraq
Turkey protests to have US bases returned and forces to leave the country
https://x.com/sahouraxo/status/2038296733067661321?s=20
German politicians call for US forces to leave
GCC US bases no longer fully serviceable
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The people of Dubai don’t like the Flintstones…but the people of Abu Dhabi do…
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